Ascensão dos investidores pessoa física na bolsa de valores: uma análise descritiva do perfil do investidor e previsão utilizando a metodologia ARIMA

Abstract

This paper aims to study and understand the rise of new investors in the stock exchange, as well as to draw a detailed profile of the characteristics of this part of the population interested in income investments variable and perform a forecast using the Arima methodology. To achieve this objective, data was collected on minority investors directly from B3 - Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão, which is the company responsible for the stock exchange in Brazil. In this way, characteristics such as region, gender, age group were analyzed to draw a profile about the shareholders. In recent years, there has been a large increase in new investors that invest their resources in stocks and other related investments. Of Form, it's necessary to investigate whether such rise's structural and permanent or are only a consequence of A passing movement that will break down at some future time. A Forecasting methodology Arima will try to answer this question with a forecast for the first months of 2021, to identify whether this upward movement is maintained for those months. However, some Limitations in the forecast will be highlighted.