Um estudo de caso para previsão de partidas de futebol utilizando o ChatGPT

Abstract

The present study aims to develop and test a tool for predicting football match outcomes using the ChatGPT language model. The research explores the potential of this technology to process match data and generate predictions, comparing its performance with the probabilities offered by betting houses. The method includes data collection through web scraping from sources such as Placar de Futebol and FBref, which allowed the creation of a rich database with detailed information about teams, championships and statistics. From this database, the tool was developed within the Arena Sport Club project, which includes features for visualizing results and football-related information. Different prompt-generation strategies were implemented in the tool to determine the best way to instruct the model to provide accurate predictions. The results showed that the model has the potential to make effective football match predictions, approaching the accuracy rates of betting houses. However, the study identified challenges such as high financial costs and the need for continuous adjustments to address the complexity of the matches and the variables involved. The conclusion suggests that while ChatGPT offers a promising tool for sports predictions, its use in real-world contexts needs to be optimized. Future research can enhance the application of this technology, reducing costs and improving accuracy over time.