Investimentos em transporte rodoviário e desempenho econômico do Nordeste brasileiro

Abstract

This monograph has the general objective of using bivariate spatial autocorrelation measures and the Ordinary Least Squares method to assess the impacts of public policies within the scope of road transport infrastructure on the long-term economic performance of the Brazilian Northeast, as well as its neighborhood. We verified how the transition from railroads to highways from the 1960s onwards influenced the long-term spatial pattern of activities in the Northeast. We calculated the differentials of the minimum distances between 1960 to 1970, 1970 to 1980, 1980 to 1990, 1990 to 2000 and 2000 to 2010. With this, it was possible to know which comparable minimum areas of the Northeast are more lived or spatially heterogeneous, and which ones have behaved these locations over the decades, through the Clusters map. It will also be possible to estimate whether reductions in the distance to access roads had an effect on long-term economic growth in the following decades in the region. Important results were identified in economic growth at local levels as observed in the cluster maps. However, based on the results extracted using the ordinary least squares method, consider that this expansion of highways and the reduction of distances over the decades were not enough to bring statistically achieved results that could confirm that the evolution of the road network can bring a higher GDP per capita throughout the northeastern territory.