Crescimento econômico e recursos naturais: um estudo dos municípios de Pernambuco

Abstract

This paperanalyzes the effect of natural resourceson the municipal and regional aggregateproduction of the State of Pernambuco between 2000 and 2010. For thispurpose, data fromofficial agencies such as IBGE, IPEAData, BDE, RAIS, STN and APAC wereusedtoestimate The effect of agriculture and waterresourceson the per capita output of municipalitiesthrough a modeling of Solow's economic growth theory with human capital and natural resources. The estimationmethodwas the multiple linear regressionwithbalancedpanel data. Dueto the longitudinal data of Pernambuco municipalities, weused the fixedeffect and and omeffectestimatorcontrolledby regional dummies to capture the importance of natural resources in the per capita production of the mesoregions of the state, especially the PernambucanSemi-arid. The resultsobtained are consistentwith the theory of economicgrowthwith natural resources, and indicatethatagriculture and waterresourceshaveanimportanteffecton municipal and regional aggregateproduction in the state of Pernambuco. It wasalsoobservedthat the per capita aggregateproduction of the Pernambucano Semi-aridmesoregions are onaveragelowerthan the Recife Metropolitan Region (RMR), except for the Sertão do São Francisco. Finally, it wasconcludedthatalong with human capital, natural resources play a relevant role in the state'seconomicprogress, especiallyconsidering the extent of arid and semi-aridlands, as well as the climatic and geographicalconditionsthataffect 75% of the state territory.